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Corbynista trolled by bookies for not understanding Jeremy Corbyn has almost no chance of becoming Prime Minister

While bookmakers say the Labour leader has a 22% chance of leading the country political researchers say his chances are zero

CORBYNISTAS are being trolled in a hilarious way by a bookies who explains how odds work – while explaining Jeremy Corbyn has hardly any chance of Prime Minister.

Today the Twitter account @JeremyCorbyn4PM tweeted a link to an article with the message “Bookies say Jeremy is favourite to take over from Theresa May”.

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Ladbrokes came up with a funny reply to the Corbynista's tweet about Jeremy Corbyn's chances of being PMCredit: Twitter
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Jeremy Corbyn supporters will be disappointed once they learn what the betting odds meanCredit: PA

But the odds bookies have given of Corbyn being the next PM are 9/2, 5/1 and 11/2 – which really aren't great.

And Ladbrokes, which is giving odds of 9/2, took great pleasure in telling them so.

The bookies tweeted: “Oh dear. 9/2 indicates about a 22% chance, which is dismally low for the current Leader of the Opposition.”

Apparently, by way of comparison, the last Labour leader Ed Miliband was odds-on by 2012.

And other Twitter users have also joined in mocking the Corbyn supporters

Corbynistas should not have as much trouble understanding some other figures which were released today, by the political website Electoral Calculus (EC).

Its study showed Jeremy Corbyn has 0% chance of winning a snap general election.

His chances of becoming prime minister in a coalition aren’t great either with the analysis by EC showing Labour has just a 2% chance of governing in coalition with the SNP and Plaid Cymru.

And the chance of Labour returning to power with the nationalist parties and the Lib Dems is just 1%.

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Placing a bet on Jeremy Corbyn ever becoming PM seems like a waste of money, according to the bookies oddsCredit: Alamy

 

Probability of possible general election outcomes
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The probability of Labour winning a majority at the next general election is not on the chart - because the Electoral Calculus report says it is 0%Credit: Electoral Calculus

By comparison, the EC says the Tories have a 77% chance of winning a majority in the next general election – with this expected to be a majority of at least 90 seats.

This comes just under a fortnight after Mr Corbyn launched his campaign to keep his position as Labour leader, saying: “This party is going places.

“This party is strong.

“This party is capable of winning a general election and if I am leader of the party I will be that prime minister.”

Theresa May
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Theresa May is forecast to do extremely well in the next general election – in part due to boundary changes and voters not backing Jeremy CorbynCredit: Getty Images

The EC analysis says Labour’s lack of success is partly due to Jeremy Corbyn – with opinion polls suggesting the party will get a pasting if he remains leader.

It is also due to proposed changes to constituency boundaries, which are said to favour the Tories.

The Boundary Commission, which reviews and advises on parliamentary boundaries, has not yet announced any changes.

But according to the EC’s calculations, 50 Labour MPs would lose their seats at the next election – when people’s current voting intention and the new boundaries are taken into account.

The Boundary Commission will present its initial proposals next month and is expected to favour reducing the number of MPs from 650 to 600.

Any changes will not be finalised until September 2018 at the earliest.

Boundaries are shaken up to try and make all constituencies have a similar population size – with exemptions for the Highlands and Islands.


Do you have a story for The Sun Online news team? Email us at tips@the-sun.co.uk or call 0207 782 4368


 

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