Labour would have fewer than 200 seats for first time since the 1920s, according to boundary change analysis
Jeremy Corbyn's party has accused the Tories of rigging the boundary changes
THERESA May would win a commanding majority at the next general election while Labour would struggle to get 200 MPs, analysis of the proposed boundary changes shows.
Political website Electoral Calculus has found the Tories are set to win in 2020 with a majority of 100 seats.
They would hold 349 seats in the House of Commons while Jeremy Corbyn’s party would have just 176.
If the Electoral Calculus analysis is correct then this would be the first time Labour would have fewer than 200 MPs since the 1920s, based on opinion polls and the boundary changes review.
Electoral expert Martin Baxter, the founder of Electoral Calculus, said Corbyn has just a 6% chance of winning the next general election with an outright majority.
This is compared to May’s 76% chance.
The Boundary Commission, which reviews and advises on parliamentary boundaries, favours reducing the number of MPs from 650 to 600.
Any changes will not be finalised until September 2018 at the earliest.
Boundaries are shaken up to try and make all constituencies have a similar population size – with exemptions for the Highlands and Islands.
The reduction in the number of constituencies will leave MPs scrabbling to keep their jobs – and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has said for his party this will include them all having to re-apply for their posts.