Horse racing tips: Ladbrokes Trophy trends – we help you find the winner of the Newbury race live on ITV
We narrow down the field to help you pick the winner of the competitive contest live on ITV this Saturday
3.00 NEWBURY: Ladbrokes Trophy Chase
Only the great Denman managed to win this aged older than eight in the past decade so we can overlook the chances of Sizing Tennessee, Go Conquer and The Young Master.
Looking at the official ratings, you need to be north of 147 which is a big negative for West Approach, Flying Angel, Abllysson Monterg and Ms Parfois.
Seven of the past 10 winners had been out already earlier in the season so American and Beware The Bear fall by the wayside.
The final four — Black Corton, Elegant Escape, Dingo Dollar and Thomas Patrick — have all won at 3m or further, which has been important.
Dingo Dollar is under a shadow because he hasn’t placed in a Graded race over fences.
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It’s hard to separate the remaining trio but it has been a plus to have won already this season and that reduces them to just one contender — ELEGANT ESCAPE.
He was ahead of Thomas Patrick at Sandown last time out and is proven over this distance and on ground with some cut.
Given he lasted right until the final trends pointer, Black Corton looks a decent each-way bet as the stats give him a big chance of hitting the frame.