Horse racing tips: Caspian Caviar Gold Cup trends – we help you find the winner of the Cheltenham race live on ITV

1.55 CHELTENHAM: Caspian Caviar Gold Cup

Age has played its part in this race over the past 10 runnings, with eight the oldest for past winners.

So we can quickly cross out War Sound, Foxtail Hill and Splash Of Ginge from today’s line-up.

Finishing in the first three last time out has been a major plus, which means we can overlook Rather Be, Cepage, Full Glass, Catamaran Du Seuil, Romain De Senam, Cobra De Mai and Casse Tete.

That has knocked them down to five – Frodon, Baron Alco, Mr Medic, Casablanca Mix and Guitar Pete.

All of them have the crucial recent run under their belt and they have won over the 2m4f distance of the race.

A previous run at Cheltenham has been important, which is bad news for Mr Medic, while Casablanca Mix has won just one chase before, which isn’t enough.

Guitar Pete won this 12 months ago but he’s out of the handicap today, which is a minus for him.

Frodon has too many chases on the clock at 20, which seems a lot for a six-year-old. So the trends point to BARON ALCO who ticks all the boxes in having won three of his eight chases with five places for good measure.